Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.001052 0.001196 0.001341 0.001497 0.001659 0.001822 0.001999
2025-11-23 0.000828 0.001035 0.001250 0.001488 0.001741 0.002001 0.002287
2025-11-30 0.000696 0.000954 0.001229 0.001540 0.001877 0.002228 0.002619
2025-12-07 0.000547 0.000838 0.001159 0.001530 0.001940 0.002372 0.002859
2025-12-14 0.000408 0.000717 0.001073 0.001494 0.001967 0.002473 0.003046
2025-12-21 0.000328 0.000658 0.001050 0.001523 0.002062 0.002642 0.003306
2025-12-28 0.000232 0.000565 0.000980 0.001493 0.002085 0.002730 0.003472
2026-01-04 0.000169 0.000505 0.000943 0.001497 0.002144 0.002854 0.003675
2026-01-11 0.000110 0.000439 0.000894 0.001482 0.002178 0.002947 0.003843
2026-01-18 0.000065 0.000383 0.000851 0.001471 0.002214 0.003041 0.004008
2026-01-25 0.000020 0.000301 0.000769 0.001407 0.002184 0.003057 0.004085
2026-02-01 0.000002 0.000254 0.000726 0.001390 0.002207 0.003132 0.004225
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000200 0.000682 0.001384 0.002262 0.003264 0.004455
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000153 0.000642 0.001383 0.002323 0.003405 0.004697
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000134 0.000645 0.001438 0.002453 0.003627 0.005032
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000095 0.000604 0.001432 0.002507 0.003759 0.005264
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000054 0.000547 0.001398 0.002525 0.003849 0.005447
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000037 0.000535 0.001428 0.002621 0.004028 0.005731
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000013 0.000485 0.001399 0.002640 0.004115 0.005909
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000003 0.000460 0.001403 0.002701 0.004250 0.006141
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.000425 0.001389 0.002735 0.004354 0.006334
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.000393 0.001379 0.002774 0.004460 0.006530
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.000333 0.001316 0.002742 0.004480 0.006624